Category Archives: Weekly Outlook
Liz Truss Resigns from Office
Written on October 24, 2022 at 7:11 am, by 力士通
UK Prime Minister Liz Truss resigned last week, making her the UK’s shortest-serving PM at just 44 days in office. Truss’ term has been plagued by criticism for her mini budget program, which included the biggest tax cuts since 1972, but would be largely funded by a massive expansion in borrowing. The markets are nowContinue Reading
Gold Remains Downbeat as Treasury Yields Hit Decade High
Written on October 20, 2022 at 6:36 am, by 力士通
Recession fears are plaguing the markets more strongly than ever. On Wednesday, US Treasury yields hit a 14-year high, with the 10-year note hitting as high as 4.153% as of writing – the highest since 2008’s recession. Meanwhile, the 2-year yield rose by 13 basis points to 4.57%. More importantly, the 3-month rate briefly roseContinue Reading
More U-turns Foreseen From Bank of England
Written on October 17, 2022 at 2:43 am, by 力士通
UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng made an unprecedentedly dramatic early exit from an International Monetary Fund event in Washington on Friday, with many thinking it was to return to the UK to prepare his fiscal plan. Turns out, Kwarteng was being asked to leave his post by UK Prime Minister Liz Truss, whoContinue Reading
Fed Inflation Fears and Weak Demand Outlook Weigh on Crude
Written on October 13, 2022 at 4:37 am, by 力士通
On Wednesday, 12 October (GMT+3), the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its Short-Term Energy Outlook (SETO). Forecasts for 2023 revealed an average global oil production of 100.7 million barrels a day – down 600,000 from September’s forecast and reflecting OPEC+’s announced cuts. Oil consumption for 2023 is forecasted to be 101 million b/d –Continue Reading
Europe Has Almost Enough Gas for Winter, But IEA is Worrying About 2023
Written on October 10, 2022 at 4:31 am, by 力士通
The International Energy Agency’s (IEA) executive director, Fatih Birol, has said that 90% of gas storage was full in Europe, and that bar surprises, Europe can get through the winter. 2023, however, remains in question because 2022 still saw some Russian gas being imported, as well as lower demand from China due to “sluggish economicContinue Reading
Outsized ADP Nonfarm Employment Fizzles Stock Rally give back
Written on October 6, 2022 at 3:38 am, by 力士通
On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment data was released, clocking in at 208,000 jobs added, better than the 200,000 forecasted and August’s 185,000. While the manufacturing, natural resources, and mining industries reported a loss of 29,000 positions, huge additions in the trade, transportation, utilities; and business and professional services sectors more thanContinue Reading
Bank of English Stages Emergency Bond Buying as Pound Plunges
Written on October 3, 2022 at 4:43 am, by 力士通
Bank of English Stages Emergency Bond Buying as Pound Plunges The Bank of England, UK’s Central Bank, has announced this week a temporary gilt-buying programme to urgently respond to a “material risk to UK financial stability” after the pound went into free fall after new prime minister Liz Truss announced tax cuts and other spendingContinue Reading
Pound Freefall Prompts BoE Emergency Bond-Buying
Written on September 29, 2022 at 3:11 am, by 力士通
The Bank of England, the UK’s Central Bank, has announced this week a temporary gilt-buying programme to urgently respond to a “material risk to UK financial stability”. This comes as gilt yields were on course for record highs as investors exited UK’s bonds after the government announced underfunded tax cuts and increased spending even asContinue Reading
Currencies Hit Record Levels Against USD
Written on September 26, 2022 at 7:12 am, by 力士通
As risk appetites move ever lower and the US dollar soars, sovereign currencies are seeing the effects of global economic uncertainty. The pound has hit a record low against the greenback after the UK government introduced a new stimulus package just after the appointment of conservative party candidate Liz Truss as Prime Minister. The poundContinue Reading
Google Fined in South Korea and Europe
Written on September 19, 2022 at 3:08 am, by 力士通
Google will be fined $4.12 billion in its antitrust suit with the EU, which describes an accusation that Google uses its Android OS to quash competition. However, the fine has been reduced from the original 4.34 billion euros, proposed in 2018, to 4.125 billion euros. This is the third EU fine for Google, the othersContinue Reading